Recent articles on scenario stress testing

Recent blog posts

Team reviewing regulatory changes in a meeting

Scenario Analysis

April 27, 2026 • Rina Daoud

How to spot feedback loops in scenario-based stress tests

Feedback loops often determine whether a shock fizzles or spirals. This article guides readers through recognizing and modeling feedback mechanisms when stress testing financial plans against geopolitical events. Readers will learn to spot early warning signs, understand real-world examples, and build more resilient frameworks that acknowledge both direct and indirect impacts.

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Scenario Analysis

May 3, 2026 • Jonas Mah

Designing scenario tests for currency volatility in uncertain times

Currency volatility can unravel carefully laid plans in a matter of days. This article guides readers through scenario design for anticipating and navigating exchange rate shocks triggered by global events. Learn to map triggers, assess secondary effects, and build frameworks that remain flexible in the face of uncertainty.

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Scenario Analysis

May 15, 2026 • Emilia Tran

How regulatory change shapes scenario-based planning

A sudden regulatory change can ripple through markets, reshaping plans overnight. This article explores how scenario-based stress testing can help anticipate and adapt to evolving legal frameworks. Readers will find approaches for identifying regulatory triggers, understanding cross-border effects, and revisiting scenarios as new rules emerge.

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Scenario Analysis

May 24, 2026 • Fiona Leclerc

Designing scenario-based stress tests for resource price volatility

Resource price shocks, whether triggered by conflict, sanctions, or natural disasters, can unravel plans with surprising speed. This article explores practical methods for stress testing financial frameworks against volatile resource prices. Learn to identify triggers, trace cascading effects, and create flexible scenarios to help maintain resilience under shifting conditions.

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Scenario Analysis

June 2, 2026 • Martin Lavoie

Accounting for psychological factors in scenario-based stress testing

Planners often focus on external events, but the most unpredictable variable may be human behaviour. This article explores how cognitive biases and emotional responses influence scenario-based stress testing in volatile geopolitical environments. Readers will find practical approaches for recognizing blind spots, encouraging critical thinking, and adjusting frameworks to account for psychological factors.

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Scenario Analysis

April 10, 2026 • Clara Robson

How to stress test a plan for geopolitical shocks

Stress testing a financial plan against geopolitical shocks is less a crystal ball and more a map for uncertain terrain. This article introduces the basics of scenario design, reveals typical errors in the process, and suggests thought experiments for readers seeking to build greater resilience into their planning. It does not predict, but instead offers tools for asking better questions and challenging assumptions in times of volatility.

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Scenario Analysis

April 18, 2026 • Seth Browning

When history helps—and when it hinders—in scenario stress testing

History is a rich resource for understanding shocks, but relying solely on past analogies can limit the effectiveness of scenario analysis. This article explores when precedent helps and when it hinders, encouraging readers to critically examine both the context and the evolving variables in any new geopolitical event.

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Recent blog posts

How regulatory change shapes scenario-based planning

Designing scenario-based stress tests for resource price volatility

Accounting for psychological factors in scenario-based stress testing

How to stress test a plan for geopolitical shocks

When history helps—and when it hinders—in scenario stress testing

How to spot feedback loops in scenario-based stress tests

Designing scenario tests for currency volatility in uncertain times

When history helps—and when it hinders—in scenario stress testing

How to spot feedback loops in scenario-based stress tests

Designing scenario tests for currency volatility in uncertain times

How regulatory change shapes scenario-based planning

Designing scenario-based stress tests for resource price volatility

Accounting for psychological factors in scenario-based stress testing

How to stress test a plan for geopolitical shocks

How to spot feedback loops in scenario-based stress tests

Designing scenario tests for currency volatility in uncertain times

How regulatory change shapes scenario-based planning

Designing scenario-based stress tests for resource price volatility

Accounting for psychological factors in scenario-based stress testing

How to stress test a plan for geopolitical shocks

When history helps—and when it hinders—in scenario stress testing

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